2026 Fantasy Football Sleepers
A sleeper isn't a vibe — it's a mispriced asset. We define a sleeper as a player our ML model ranks higher than the market's ADP. These 30 are sorted by the size of the gap: a player ranked #45 by the model but going at ADP #80 has an "ADP gap" of +35 — that's 35 picks of value the market is leaving on the table.
Projections are PPR by default. Every player has a full SHAP explainer that shows why the model is bullish (target share, opportunity, scheme fit, age curve) so you can sanity-check before drafting. Updated September 15, 2026.
Why no rookies here: the model can't reliably project a player with zero NFL games. Rookies get comp-based defaults that we won't represent as "market mispricings." This list is veterans only — players with last-season production the model can actually feature.
| # | Player | Pos | Pos ADP | Model Pos | Pos Gap | Proj PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keenan Allen | WR IND | WR58 | WR30 | +28 | 12.1 |
| 2 | Jakobi Meyers | WR JAX | WR43 | WR23 | +20 | 12.3 |
| 3 | DK Metcalf | WR PIT | WR31 | WR14 | +17 | 13.5 |
| 4 | Khalil Shakir | WR BUF | WR44 | WR29 | +15 | 12.1 |
| 5 | Jerry Jeudy | WR CLE | WR53 | WR38 | +15 | 11.2 |
| 6 | Courtland Sutton | WR DEN | WR30 | WR17 | +13 | 13.3 |
| 7 | Davante Adams | WR LAR | WR22 | WR10 | +12 | 13.9 |
| 8 | Tee Higgins | WR CIN | WR18 | WR9 | +9 | 14.0 |
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