2026 Fantasy Football Sleepers

A sleeper isn't a vibe — it's a mispriced asset. We define a sleeper as a player our ML model ranks higher than the market's ADP. These 30 are sorted by the size of the gap: a player ranked #45 by the model but going at ADP #80 has an "ADP gap" of +35 — that's 35 picks of value the market is leaving on the table.

Projections are PPR by default. Every player has a full SHAP explainer that shows why the model is bullish (target share, opportunity, scheme fit, age curve) so you can sanity-check before drafting. Updated July 26, 2026.

Why no rookies here: the model can't reliably project a player with zero NFL games. Rookies get comp-based defaults that we won't represent as "market mispricings." This list is veterans only — players with last-season production the model can actually feature.

#	Player	Pos	ADP	Model Rank	Gap	Proj PPG
1	Cade Otton	TE TB	200	114	+86	9.4
2	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	RB NYG	136	54	+82	11.2
3	George Kittle	TE SF	114	42	+72	11.8
4	Deebo Samuel Sr.	WR WAS	170	98	+72	10.4
5	Juwan Johnson	TE NO	153	84	+69	10.0
6	Travis Kelce	TE KC	111	47	+64	11.6
7	Wan'Dale Robinson	WR NYG	103	43	+60	12.5
8	Bo Nix	QB DEN	109	52	+57	18.7
9	Stefon Diggs	WR NE	135	83	+52	10.9
10	Dallas Goedert	TE PHI	129	82	+47	10.2
11	Kyle Pitts	TE ATL	91	51	+40	11.2
12	Trevor Lawrence	QB JAX	82	48	+34	19.1
13	Cam Skattebo	RB NYG	43	10	+33	16.4
14	D'Andre Swift	RB CHI	51	19	+32	14.2
15	Jaxson Dart	QB NYG	102	71	+31	18.1
16	DK Metcalf	WR PIT	68	37	+31	12.8
17	Harold Fannin Jr.	TE CLE	87	57	+30	10.9
18	Josh Jacobs	RB GB	38	9	+29	16.5
19	Jakobi Meyers	WR JAX	101	78	+23	11.0
20	Patrick Mahomes	QB KC	96	74	+22	18.0
21	Tyler Warren	TE IND	61	40	+21	11.8
22	Kyren Williams	RB LAR	32	11	+21	16.3
23	Davante Adams	WR LAR	47	27	+20	13.8
24	Caleb Williams	QB CHI	80	63	+17	18.2
25	RJ Harvey	RB DEN	86	70	+16	10.8
26	Woody Marks	RB HOU	142	126	+16	9.5
27	Josh Allen	QB BUF	28	13	+15	23.2

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