2026 NFL Fantasy Football Rankings

Our 2026 fantasy football rankings are generated by a LightGBM quantile-regression model trained on 16 seasons (2010–2025) of play-by-play, snap-counts, target-share, depth-chart, injury report, and IR designation data. Players are sorted by Value-Based Drafting (VBD) — the projected points each player produces above a replacement-level starter at their position — which is what actually wins drafts, not raw projected points. We refresh ADP daily and re-run the projections weekly through the season. Last update: June 11, 2026.

Every player has a SHAP explainer (click into the cheatsheet view for the full breakdown). For a hands-on test of how the model recommends picks live during a draft, try the free Mock Draft simulator.

See how the model uses these rankings in a live draft — free, no signup.Try Mock Draft →

#	Player	Pos	Team	Bye	ADP	Proj PPG	VBD
1	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	DET	6	1	19.4	9.9
2	Bijan Robinson	RB	ATL	11	2	19.3	9.8
3	Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF	8	6	18.9	9.5
4	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	6	3	18.9	9.1
5	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	6	7	18.9	9.0
6	Jonathan Taylor	RB	IND	13	9	18.0	8.5
7	Cam Skattebo	RB	NYG	8	43	16.9	7.4
8	Puka Nacua	WR	LA	11	4	17.0	7.2
9	Kyren Williams	RB	LA	11	32	16.4	6.9
10	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	14	11	16.8	6.9
11	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	11	5	16.4	6.6
12	De'Von Achane	RB	MIA	6	14	15.9	6.5
13	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	8	23	16.3	6.4
14	James Cook	RB	BUF	7	12	15.3	5.8
15	George Pickens	WR	DAL	14	23	15.6	5.7
16	Kenneth Walker III	RB	KC	5	18	15.1	5.7
17	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	7	28	23.1	5.6
18	Josh Jacobs	RB	GB	11	38	15.1	5.6
19	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	13	31	15.3	5.4
20	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	6	35	15.2	5.4
21	A.J. Brown	WR	NE	10	18	14.8	4.9
22	Breece Hall	RB	NYJ	13	29	14.4	4.9
23	Trey McBride	TE	ARI	14	25	13.5	4.9
24	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	6	10	14.6	4.7
25	Travis Etienne	RB	NO	8	35	14.1	4.7
26	Drake London	WR	ATL	11	16	14.5	4.6
27	Ashton Jeanty	RB	LV	13	10	13.9	4.5
28	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	8	39	14.2	4.4
29	Chris Olave	WR	NO	8	27	13.9	4.1
30	Derrick Henry	RB	BAL	13	20	13.3	3.8
31	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	10	28	13.6	3.7
32	Omarion Hampton	RB	LAC	7	15	13.1	3.7
33	D'Andre Swift	RB	CHI	10	51	13.1	3.7
34	Chase Brown	RB	CIN	6	16	13.0	3.5
35	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	5	26	13.2	3.3
36	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	5	37	13.2	3.3
37	Brandon Aubrey	K	DAL	14	—	12.4	3.3
38	Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	11	91	11.8	3.2
39	Jaylen Waddle	WR	DEN	10	45	12.8	3.0
40	Jason Myers	K	SEA	11	—	12.1	3.0
41	Javonte Williams	RB	DAL	14	35	12.3	2.9
42	George Kittle	TE	SF	8	114	11.5	2.9
43	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	10	80	20.3	2.8
44	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	10	76	12.5	2.7
45	Saquon Barkley	RB	PHI	10	16	12.1	2.7
46	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	9	68	12.5	2.6
47	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	6	51	12.5	2.6
48	Brock Bowers	TE	LV	13	24	11.2	2.6
49	Michael Pittman	WR	PIT	9	90	12.4	2.5
50	Davante Adams	WR	LAR	11	47	12.3	2.4
51	Tyreek Hill	WR	MIA	6	232	12.2	2.3
52	DEN Defense	DST	DEN	10	—	7.5	2.3
53	Bucky Irving	RB	TB	10	55	11.7	2.2
54	Dallas Goedert	TE	PHI	10	129	10.8	2.2
55	Alec Pierce	WR	IND	13	77	11.9	2.0
56	Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	HOU	8	—	11.0	1.9
57	HOU Defense	DST	HOU	8	—	7.0	1.9
58	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	7	37	11.6	1.8
59	DJ Moore	WR	BUF	7	58	11.6	1.7
60	Emeka Egbuka	WR	TB	10	39	11.6	1.7
61	Tyler Warren	TE	IND	13	61	10.3	1.7
62	Jared Goff	QB	DET	6	102	19.2	1.7
63	Travis Kelce	TE	KC	5	111	10.3	1.7
64	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	7	82	19.1	1.6
65	SEA Defense	DST	SEA	11	—	6.7	1.5
66	Blake Grupe	K	IND	13	—	10.5	1.4
67	Wan'Dale Robinson	WR	TEN	9	103	11.2	1.4
68	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	8	95	18.9	1.4
69	Deebo Samuel Sr.	WR	WAS	7	170	11.2	1.3
70	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	14	74	18.7	1.3
71	Colston Loveland	TE	CHI	10	43	9.8	1.2
72	Jeremiyah Love	RB	ARI	—	24	10.7	1.2
73	Jadarian Price	RB	SEA	—	67	10.7	1.2
74	Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	7	123	9.8	1.2
75	Jake Bates	K	DET	6	—	10.3	1.2
76	Drake Maye	QB	NE	11	60	18.6	1.2
77	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	7	101	10.9	1.1
78	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	10	109	18.6	1.1
79	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	7	86	10.9	1.0
80	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	5	96	18.5	1.0
81	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	14	91	10.8	1.0
82	LAC Defense	DST	LAC	7	—	6.2	1.0
83	MIN Defense	DST	MIN	6	—	6.1	0.9
84	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	6	89	9.5	0.9
85	Harrison Mevis	K	LAR	—	—	9.9	0.9
86	Cam Little	K	JAX	7	—	9.8	0.8
87	Jaylen Warren	RB	PIT	9	68	10.2	0.7
88	Stefon Diggs	WR	NE	11	135	10.6	0.7
89	Parker Washington	WR	JAX	7	69	10.6	0.7
90	Harold Fannin Jr.	TE	CLE	11	87	9.1	0.5
91	Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	11	80	9.1	0.5
92	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	11	95	18.0	0.5
93	PHI Defense	DST	PHI	10	—	5.6	0.4
94	PIT Defense	DST	PIT	9	—	5.6	0.4
95	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	RB	NYG	8	136	9.9	0.4
96	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	7	78	17.9	0.4
97	Eddy Pineiro	K	SF	8	—	9.4	0.3
98	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	10	57	10.2	0.3
99	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	NE	11	77	9.8	0.3
100	Lamar Jackson	QB	BAL	13	52	17.8	0.3
101	ATL Defense	DST	ATL	11	—	5.4	0.3
102	LAR Defense	DST	LAR	—	—	5.4	0.3
103	Kenneth Gainwell	RB	TB	10	90	9.7	0.2
104	Tyler Bass	K	BUF	7	—	9.3	0.2
105	Chris Boswell	K	PIT	9	—	9.3	0.2
106	Cameron Dicker	K	LAC	7	—	9.2	0.1
107	CLE Defense	DST	CLE	11	—	5.3	0.1
108	BUF Defense	DST	BUF	7	—	5.3	0.1
109	BAL Defense	DST	BAL	13	—	5.3	0.1
110	Chase McLaughlin	K	TB	10	—	9.2	0.1
111	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	10	80	17.5	0.0
112	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	7	69	9.9	0.0
113	Tyler Loop	K	BAL	13	—	9.1	0.0
114	Oronde Gadsden II	TE	LAC	7	141	8.6	0.0
115	NO Defense	DST	NO	8	—	5.2	0.0
116	RJ Harvey	RB	DEN	10	86	9.5	0.0
117	Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	ARI	14	67	9.8	-0.0
118	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	11	114	9.8	-0.1
119	Cairo Santos	K	CHI	10	—	9.0	-0.1
120	Juwan Johnson	TE	NO	8	153	8.5	-0.1
121	DET Defense	DST	DET	6	—	5.1	-0.1
122	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	8	102	17.4	-0.1
123	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	7	41	9.7	-0.2
124	Cade Otton	TE	TB	10	200	8.4	-0.2
125	Theo Johnson	TE	NYG	8	300	8.4	-0.2
126	CHI Defense	DST	CHI	10	—	5.0	-0.2
127	GB Defense	DST	GB	11	—	4.9	-0.3
128	JAX Defense	DST	JAX	7	—	4.9	-0.3
129	KC Concepcion	WR	CLE	—	124	9.9	-0.3
130	Jordyn Tyson	WR	NO	—	74	9.9	-0.3
131	Makai Lemon	WR	PHI	—	93	9.9	-0.3
132	Carnell Tate	WR	TEN	—	62	9.9	-0.3
133	Jayden Daniels	QB	WAS	7	70	17.1	-0.3
134	NE Defense	DST	NE	11	—	4.8	-0.4
135	KC Defense	DST	KC	5	—	4.8	-0.4
136	Kenyon Sadiq	TE	NYJ	—	159	9.0	-0.5
137	Dalton Schultz	TE	HOU	8	175	8.1	-0.5
138	James Conner	RB	ARI	14	221	9.0	-0.5
139	Evan McPherson	K	CIN	6	—	8.6	-0.5
140	Jauan Jennings	WR	SF	8	148	9.4	-0.5
141	Will Reichard	K	MIN	6	—	8.5	-0.6
142	Ricky Pearsall	WR	SF	8	101	9.3	-0.6
143	Christian Watson	WR	GB	11	56	9.3	-0.6
144	Hunter Henry	TE	NE	11	156	8.0	-0.6
145	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	7	118	9.3	-0.6
146	TB Defense	DST	TB	10	—	4.6	-0.6
147	IND Defense	DST	IND	13	—	4.5	-0.6
148	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	13	130	7.9	-0.6
149	Wil Lutz	K	DEN	10	—	8.4	-0.7
150	Tony Pollard	RB	TEN	9	75	8.8	-0.7
151	Quinshon Judkins	RB	CLE	11	53	8.8	-0.7
152	Nick Folk	K	ATL	11	—	8.4	-0.7
153	Baker Mayfield	QB	TB	10	119	16.8	-0.7
154	Woody Marks	RB	HOU	8	142	8.7	-0.7
155	Harrison Butker	K	KC	5	—	8.3	-0.8
156	Troy Franklin	WR	DEN	10	207	9.0	-0.8
157	Tyjae Spears	RB	TEN	9	148	8.5	-0.9
158	Alvin Kamara	RB	NO	8	170	8.5	-1.0
159	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	13	34	8.9	-1.0
160	Daniel Jones	QB	IND	13	151	16.5	-1.0
161	Mason Taylor	TE	NYJ	13	307	7.5	-1.1
162	Trey Smack	K	GB	11	—	8.0	-1.1
163	CIN Defense	DST	CIN	6	—	4.1	-1.1
164	MIA Defense	DST	MIA	6	—	4.1	-1.1
165	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	6	99	8.7	-1.1
166	Andy Borregales	K	NE	11	—	8.0	-1.1
167	Trey Benson	RB	ARI	14	371	8.3	-1.1
168	Zane Gonzalez	K	MIA	6	—	7.9	-1.1
169	Keenan Allen	WR	LAC	7	316	8.7	-1.2
170	David Njoku	TE	LAC	11	217	7.4	-1.2
171	LV Defense	DST	LV	13	—	4.0	-1.2
172	Omar Cooper Jr.	WR	NYJ	—	152	8.9	-1.3
173	TreVeyon Henderson	RB	NE	11	54	8.2	-1.3
174	Zach Ertz	TE	WAS	7	317	7.2	-1.4
175	Kyle Monangai	RB	CHI	10	100	8.1	-1.4
176	Chad Ryland	K	ARI	14	—	7.7	-1.4
177	De'Zhaun Stribling	WR	SF	8	211	8.8	-1.4
178	Jake Ferguson	TE	DAL	14	123	7.2	-1.4
179	Zach Charbonnet	RB	SEA	11	160	8.0	-1.4
180	Pat Freiermuth	TE	PIT	9	202	7.1	-1.5
181	Jake Elliott	K	PHI	10	—	7.6	-1.5
182	Jayden Higgins	WR	HOU	8	122	8.4	-1.5
183	J.K. Dobbins	RB	DEN	10	103	7.9	-1.6
184	SF Defense	DST	SF	8	—	3.6	-1.6
185	Dawson Knox	TE	BUF	7	336	7.0	-1.6
186	Darren Waller	TE	MIA	6	304	7.0	-1.6
187	CAR Defense	DST	CAR	5	—	3.6	-1.6
188	Keon Coleman	WR	BUF	7	283	8.3	-1.6
189	Kimani Vidal	RB	LAC	7	200	7.8	-1.6
190	DAL Defense	DST	DAL	14	—	3.5	-1.7
191	Evan Engram	TE	DEN	10	274	6.9	-1.7
192	Jake Moody	K	WAS	7	—	7.4	-1.7
193	Mike Evans	WR	SF	8	53	8.2	-1.7
194	Josh Downs	WR	IND	13	96	8.1	-1.7
195	Jalen Coker	WR	CAR	5	126	8.1	-1.8
196	Chuba Hubbard	RB	CAR	5	77	7.6	-1.8
197	Jordan Mason	RB	MIN	6	123	7.6	-1.8
198	Rachaad White	RB	WAS	7	105	7.6	-1.8
199	Charlie Smyth	K	NO	8	—	7.3	-1.8
200	Chig Okonkwo	TE	WAS	7	150	6.7	-1.8
201	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	6	167	6.7	-1.9
202	Tyler Allgeier	RB	ARI	14	154	7.6	-1.9
203	NYG Defense	DST	NYG	8	—	3.3	-1.9
204	Phil Mafah	RB	DAL	14	318	7.6	-1.9
205	WAS Defense	DST	WAS	7	—	3.3	-1.9
206	AJ Barner	TE	SEA	11	185	6.6	-2.0
207	Chris Rodriguez Jr.	RB	JAX	7	141	7.4	-2.0
208	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	5	103	7.8	-2.0
209	Kareem Hunt	RB	KC	5	321	7.4	-2.1
210	Isaiah Davis	RB	NYJ	13	381	7.4	-2.1
211	Kayshon Boutte	WR	NE	11	218	7.8	-2.1
212	TEN Defense	DST	TEN	9	—	3.1	-2.1
213	Bhayshul Tuten	RB	JAX	7	57	7.3	-2.2
214	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	6	55	15.3	-2.2
215	Blake Corum	RB	LA	11	106	7.3	-2.2
216	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB	WAS	7	128	7.3	-2.2
217	Jordan Love	QB	GB	11	120	15.2	-2.3
218	Joey Slye	K	TEN	9	—	6.8	-2.3
219	Geno Smith	QB	NYJ	13	181	15.2	-2.3
220	Austin Ekeler	RB	WAS	7	268	7.1	-2.3
221	Luther Burden III	WR	CHI	10	44	7.5	-2.4
222	Jeremy McNichols	RB	WAS	7	—	7.1	-2.4
223	Travis Hunter	WR	JAX	7	169	7.5	-2.4
224	ARI Defense	DST	ARI	14	—	2.8	-2.4
225	Rico Dowdle	RB	PIT	9	88	7.0	-2.5
226	Justice Hill	RB	BAL	13	239	7.0	-2.5
227	Justin Fields	QB	KC	5	404	15.0	-2.5
228	Nick Chubb	RB	HOU	8	—	6.9	-2.5
229	Jayden Reed	WR	GB	11	92	7.3	-2.5
230	Joe Flacco	QB	CIN	6	390	14.9	-2.5
231	NYJ Defense	DST	NYJ	13	—	2.6	-2.6
232	Jonnu Smith	TE	PIT	9	330	6.0	-2.6
233	Matthew Golden	WR	GB	11	117	7.3	-2.6
234	Aaron Jones	RB	MIN	6	125	6.9	-2.6
235	Cade York	K	NYJ	13	—	6.5	-2.6
236	C.J. Stroud	QB	HOU	8	141	14.9	-2.6
237	Jerome Ford	RB	WAS	7	343	6.7	-2.8
238	Chris Godwin Jr.	WR	TB	10	87	7.1	-2.8
239	Kendre Miller	RB	NO	8	301	6.7	-2.8
240	Raheim Sanders	RB	CLE	11	—	6.7	-2.8
241	Devin Singletary	RB	NYG	8	389	6.6	-2.8
242	Emari Demercado	RB	KC	5	294	6.6	-2.9
243	Gunnar Helm	TE	TEN	9	192	5.7	-2.9
244	Pat Bryant	WR	DEN	10	297	6.9	-2.9
245	David Montgomery	RB	HOU	8	52	6.5	-2.9
246	Matt Gay	K	LV	13	—	6.2	-2.9
247	Chimere Dike	WR	TEN	9	282	6.9	-2.9
248	Ben Sauls	K	NYG	8	—	6.1	-3.0
249	Jonathon Brooks	RB	CAR	—	109	6.5	-3.0
250	Darnell Washington	TE	PIT	9	317	5.6	-3.0
251	Samaje Perine	RB	CIN	6	290	6.4	-3.1
252	Audric Estimé	RB	NO	8	—	6.4	-3.1
253	Cole Kmet	TE	CHI	10	398	5.5	-3.1
254	Ryan Fitzgerald	K	CAR	5	—	6.0	-3.1
255	Kyler Murray	QB	MIN	6	123	14.4	-3.1
256	Ollie Gordon II	RB	MIA	6	328	6.3	-3.1
257	Denzel Boston	WR	CLE	—	152	7.0	-3.2
258	Ty Johnson	RB	BUF	7	295	6.2	-3.2
259	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	11	205	6.6	-3.2
260	Keaton Mitchell	RB	LAC	7	149	6.2	-3.3
261	Dylan Sampson	RB	CLE	11	155	6.2	-3.3
262	Brian Robinson	RB	ATL	11	173	6.1	-3.3
263	Colby Parkinson	TE	LA	11	223	5.2	-3.4
264	Michael Mayer	TE	LV	13	317	5.2	-3.4
265	Emanuel Wilson	RB	SEA	11	218	6.0	-3.4
266	Jake Tonges	TE	SF	8	233	5.2	-3.4
267	Jacardia Wright	RB	SEA	11	—	6.0	-3.5
268	Michael Carter	RB	TEN	9	271	6.0	-3.5
269	Tua Tagovailoa	QB	ATL	11	201	14.0	-3.5
270	Devin Neal	RB	NO	8	388	5.9	-3.5
271	Theo Wease Jr.	WR	MIA	6	282	6.3	-3.5
272	Andre Szmyt	K	CLE	11	—	5.5	-3.5
273	Jalen Nailor	WR	LV	13	152	6.3	-3.6
274	Tory Horton	WR	SEA	11	307	6.3	-3.6
275	Tre Tucker	WR	LV	13	148	6.3	-3.6
276	Jalen McMillan	WR	TB	10	143	6.3	-3.6
277	Greg Dulcich	TE	MIA	6	189	5.0	-3.6
278	Braelon Allen	RB	NYJ	13	188	5.9	-3.6
279	Tez Johnson	WR	TB	10	391	6.2	-3.6
280	Josh Oliver	TE	MIN	6	—	4.9	-3.7
281	Isaac TeSlaa	WR	DET	6	171	6.2	-3.7
282	Noah Fant	TE	NO	8	303	4.9	-3.7
283	Marvin Mims Jr.	WR	DEN	10	343	6.1	-3.7
284	Tank Bigsby	RB	PHI	10	168	5.7	-3.7
285	Taysom Hill	TE	NO	8	255	4.8	-3.7
286	Tyrell Shavers	WR	BUF	7	—	6.1	-3.7
287	Andrei Iosivas	WR	CIN	6	323	6.1	-3.8
288	Isaiah Likely	TE	NYG	8	129	4.8	-3.8
289	Luke Musgrave	TE	GB	11	297	4.8	-3.8
290	Tyler Higbee	TE	LAR	11	375	4.8	-3.8
291	Jaret Patterson	RB	LAC	7	—	5.6	-3.8
292	Kirk Cousins	QB	LV	13	241	13.7	-3.8
293	Anthony Richardson	QB	IND	13	348	13.6	-3.9
294	Najee Harris	RB	LAC	7	322	5.6	-3.9
295	Mike Gesicki	TE	CIN	6	280	4.7	-3.9
296	Terrance Ferguson	TE	LA	11	217	4.7	-3.9
297	Aaron Rodgers	QB	PIT	9	171	13.6	-3.9
298	Ja'Tavion Sanders	TE	CAR	5	331	4.7	-3.9
299	Isiah Pacheco	RB	DET	6	151	5.5	-3.9
300	Daniel Bellinger	TE	TEN	9	298	4.6	-4.0

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2026 Fantasy Rankings FAQ

How are these 2026 NFL fantasy rankings generated?

Edge Pro Fantasy uses a LightGBM gradient-boosted regression model trained on 16 seasons (2010-2025) of play-by-play, snap counts, target share, depth charts, injury reports, and IR designations. Players are sorted by Value-Based Drafting (VBD) — projected points above a replacement-level starter at their position — not raw projected points.

Are the 2026 rankings PPR, half-PPR, or standard?

The public /rankings/2026 page shows full-PPR 12-team rankings by default. If you link your real league (Sleeper, ESPN, or Yahoo) the rankings re-score in the browser against your actual scoring rules (TE premium, 6-pt passing TDs, half-PPR, custom kicker scoring, etc.) without needing to retrain the model.

How accurate are Edge Pro Fantasy projections?

Walk-forward validated across 2022-2025. Spearman rank correlation of pre-season model rank vs end-of-season finish: RB 0.84, WR 0.80, QB 0.65, TE 0.64. All four positions statistically significant (p<0.05). Receipts of historical model calls vs market ADP are published on the homepage and are individually verifiable.

What is VBD and why use it instead of projected points?

Value-Based Drafting (VBD) is each player's projected points above a replacement-level starter at the same position. It accounts for positional scarcity: a 280-point QB only beats replacement by 20 points, while a 220-point RB might beat replacement by 60. VBD is what actually wins drafts because it answers 'how much more does this player give me than the next-best available at the same slot' rather than just 'who scores the most points overall.'

How often are the 2026 rankings updated?

ADP refreshes daily from FantasyPros consensus drafts. Player status (injuries, depth chart changes, suspensions) syncs every few hours. The full projection model is re-run when feature inputs move materially — typically weekly in offseason and after every NFL game in-season.

Can I see why the model has a player ranked where it is?

Yes. Every projection has a SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) feature attribution that shows exactly which inputs drove the number — target share, snap rate, age curve, scheme change, prior IR weeks, supporting cast quality, team pass rate, and so on. Click any player on the cheatsheet view to see the per-feature contribution breakdown.

Is there a free version of these rankings?

Yes. The /rankings/2026 page, the /cheatsheet PDF, the /sleepers mispricing list, and the /mock draft simulator are all free with no signup required. The paid Draft Tool ($24.99 one-time, full season) adds live recommendations during your real draft via Sleeper, ESPN, or Yahoo sync.

How does the model handle players returning from injury?

Returning-from-injury QBs called 12 of 12 directionally correct vs ADP across 2022-2025: 8 fade calls all under-performed (Watson 23, Lance 22, Watson 24, Levis 24, Garoppolo 23, Richardson 25, Brissett 24, Darnold 23), and 4 buy calls all beat ADP (Geno 22, Daniel Jones 22 and 25, Kyler 23). The model reads weeks-on-IR, prior availability rate, mobility, supporting cast, and age curve — not just last year's games-played count.

Watch this list move all summer

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