2026 NFL Fantasy Football Rankings

Our 2026 fantasy football rankings are generated by a LightGBM quantile-regression model trained on 16 seasons (2010–2025) of play-by-play, snap-counts, target-share, depth-chart, injury report, and IR designation data. Players are sorted by Value-Based Drafting (VBD) — the projected points each player produces above a replacement-level starter at their position — which is what actually wins drafts, not raw projected points. We refresh ADP daily and re-run the projections weekly through the season. Last update: June 11, 2026.

Every player has a SHAP explainer (click into the cheatsheet view for the full breakdown). For a hands-on test of how the model recommends picks live during a draft, try the free Mock Draft simulator.

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#	Player	Pos	Team	Bye	ADP	Proj PPG	VBD
1	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	7	27	23.1	5.6
2	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	—	27	23.1	5.6
3	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	—	27	23.0	4.9
4	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	—	73	21.4	3.3
5	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	—	73	20.3	2.8
6	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	10	73	20.3	2.8
7	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	—	82	20.8	2.7
8	Jared Goff	QB	DET	—	104	19.2	1.7
9	Jared Goff	QB	DET	6	104	19.2	1.7
10	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	—	97	19.7	1.6
11	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	—	82	19.1	1.6
12	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	7	82	19.1	1.6
13	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	—	106	19.6	1.5
14	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	8	97	18.9	1.4
15	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	—	97	18.9	1.4
16	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	14	79	18.7	1.3
17	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	—	79	18.7	1.3
18	Jared Goff	QB	DET	—	104	19.3	1.2
19	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	—	70	19.3	1.2
20	Drake Maye	QB	NE	11	62	18.6	1.2
21	Drake Maye	QB	NE	—	62	18.6	1.2
22	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	10	106	18.6	1.1
23	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	—	106	18.6	1.1
24	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	—	96	18.5	1.0
25	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	5	96	18.5	1.0
26	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	—	79	19.1	1.0
27	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	—	96	18.8	0.7
28	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	11	93	18.0	0.5
29	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	—	93	18.0	0.5
30	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	—	78	17.9	0.4
31	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	7	78	17.9	0.4
32	Lamar Jackson	QB	BAL	13	51	17.8	0.3
33	Lamar Jackson	QB	BAL	—	51	17.8	0.3
34	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	—	93	18.3	0.2
35	Drake Maye	QB	NE	—	62	18.2	0.1
36	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	—	78	18.2	0.1
37	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	10	70	17.5	0.0
38	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	—	90	18.1	0.0
39	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	—	70	17.5	0.0
40	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	—	90	17.4	-0.1
41	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	8	90	17.4	-0.1
42	Jayden Daniels	QB	WAS	7	65	17.1	-0.3
43	Jayden Daniels	QB	WAS	—	65	17.1	-0.3

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